{
  "contract": "asa.xfa.public-result.v1",
  "experiment_id": "ASA-XFA-002",
  "date": "2026-08-15",
  "status": "PASS",
  "instrument": "asa.vector.trajectory.candidate.0.1",
  "external_environment": {
    "repository": "https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm",
    "commit": "c65aa179db7bdd61e2c2821eac87f208a105c053",
    "component": "phoenix/reference/world.py",
    "production_x_access": false,
    "real_user_data": false
  },
  "design": {
    "development_seeds": 6,
    "development_excluded_from_final_metrics": true,
    "untouched_holdout_seeds": 10,
    "holdout_cases": 30,
    "families": ["matched_control", "progressive_restriction", "composition_rotation"],
    "full_formation_turn": 23,
    "baseline": "univariate HHI z-score"
  },
  "metrics": {
    "control_false_alarm_rate": 0.0,
    "restriction_detection_rate": 0.9,
    "rotation_detection_rate": 0.9,
    "rotation_hhi_baseline_detection_rate": 0.0,
    "median_lead_to_full_formation_turns": 5.0
  },
  "misses": [
    {"seed": 5105, "family": "restriction"},
    {"seed": 5104, "family": "rotation"}
  ],
  "integrity": {
    "frozen_manifest_sha256": "9f088a47c12579e5809e1c0edf5437cd1765b586cee3562bffcab1fffdfd29f7",
    "result_file_sha256": "9ac42463f92fbde4d360ba1ca0fea4cfa0229f29483b964c197f290060dad57c",
    "canonical_result_sha256": "603e467dd860e969ba7bb3c748525538f6778c0b5b5b1956dfb4437884ca1981",
    "deterministic_rerun_identical": true
  },
  "claim_boundary": "Internal frozen holdout on synthetic Phoenix reference data. Not the production X service, independent validation, calibrated probability, production readiness or endorsement by X/xAI."
}